Nearly 40M Light-Duty Natural Gas Vehicles Are Expected To Be On Roads In 2025, According To Navigant Research

Nearly 40M Light-Duty Natural Gas Vehicles Are Expected To Be On Roads In 2025, According To Navigant Research

In the past decade, increased hydraulic fracturing extraction and improvements in infrastructure and technology have increased the supply and decreased the cost of natural gas.

A recent report from Navigant Research analyzes the market for natural gas vehicles (NGVs), including global forecasts, broken down by vehicle segment, alternative drivetrain and region, through 2025.

Photo credit: iStock.com/shansekala
Photo credit: iStock.com/shansekala

In the past decade, increased hydraulic fracturing extraction and improvements in infrastructure and technology have increased the supply and decreased the cost of natural gas. The market for NGVs hit an obstacle due to global gas prices, but is still expected to grow gradually through 2025, according to the research firm.

“Various regional factors such as availability of refueling infrastructure, tailpipe emissions requirements and the cost of natural gas affect the markets for light-duty NGVs,” said Sam Abuelsamid, senior research analyst with Navigant Research. “In Western Europe and Asia Pacific, NGV growth is expected to continue, just at a lower rate than previously projected.”

According to the report, increased scrutiny of real-world emissions and fuel consumption from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, including NGVs, will put additional pressure on manufacturers. These factors, in addition to low gas prices and minimal infrastructure, are expected to result in more modest NGV growth than previously forecast.

The report, Natural Gas Vehicles, examines the global market for NGVs, with a focus on passenger cars, light-duty trucks and vans, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses, and commercial vehicles. The study provides an analysis of the key factors expected to influence demand for NGVs, including fuel prices, infrastructure availability, regulations and technical issues. Global market forecasts, broken down by vehicle segment, alternative drivetrain and region, extend through 2025. The study also analyzes how market and technology issues will affect automobile and truck manufacturers; suppliers of natural gas engines, fuel storage and delivery hardware; and the companies that convert liquid-fueled vehicles to natural gas.

An executive summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

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