Anthony Cristello, senior vice president, directs the automotive
aftermarket research platform at BB&T Capital Markets. Cristello
has been featured on various television programs discussing the
aftermarket industry, including CNBC and Bloomberg television. Before
rejoining BB&T Capital Markets Equity Research in 2000, Cristello
was an associate analyst with ABN AMRO in Chicago.
In this week’s Executive Interview, Cristello gives us a look at the
aftermarket’s financial health from Wall Street’s perspective. He also
gives us a taste of what he’ll be talking about at the 2009 Global
Automotive Aftermarket Symposium, which takes place May 6-7 in Chicago.
There is a lot of negative news out there today when it comes to the
automotive industry. Will you have any good news to share with GAAS
attendees this year?
In many instances, the automotive aftermarket, from a stock price
performance perspective, has handily beat the performance of the
broader markets. While I’m not saying things are completely prosperous,
it’s a situation where I do think we’re seeing some trends that are
running counter to some of the negative sentiment across other
industries.
We hear a lot of people today say that when the economy is soft,
that’s actually good for the aftermarket. Are you finding this to be
true?
I am. We just finished the December quarterly earnings and
surprisingly, a fair number of companies showed better than expected
results, particularly on the distributor side where we saw better than
anticipated earnings from a same store sales perspective, but even more
important, it sounds like in the first part of this year, it’s gotten a
little bit better than what we were seeing at the end of the year. And
that’s encouraging. We believe when you talk about new car sales being
down, the dealership closings, the age of the vehicles, etc. all
these things that individually aren’t enough to really move the needle
materially measuring them on a combined basis, it does start to give
a nice tailwind to this group. One month or two months of better than
expected results you may question, but if we start to see a sustained
period of several months in a row and trends look better and the health
of the aftermarket is better in spite of the economy, I think that
bodes well.
I know you are going to talk at GAAS about the Wall Street’s
perceptions regarding several industry issues today, but what else is
on your agenda?
Right. We’re going to talk about the consumer. We believe consumer
confidence is very important. It’s going to be very important to turn
miles driven trends around and to get the economy going better.
Consumer confidence is at a very, very low point right now and I think
that, in general, it is something everyone is going to face, whether
it’s through employment rates, debt or financing. We can’t just isolate
the aftermarket, because there are things going on, on a global basis
that are impacting it. We will look at what it means and where we are
in the cycle, as well as what past recessions have shown the
aftermarket.
About the Author
Amy Antenora
Editor, aftermarketNews
aantenora@babcox.com
With more than a decade of experience in the communications field, Amy has been Editor of aftermarketNews since 2002. Prior to joining Babcox Publications, Amy worked as a general assignment reporter for the West Akron Sun, as a freelance Arts & Entertainment writer for AmericaOnline and also worked in PR for two state Universities.